Byrne Likely to Run for Governor-2010
Well, it has been a while since I wrote to everyone. I apologize as I have been occupied with other things. Well, I'm baaaaack!
There is a potentially very big development in the run for Governor going down. Yesterday, Bradley Byrne resigned from his position as Chancellor of the two-year college system in the state.
Byrne had indicated earlier that late May or early June would be a date in which he would make his final decision whether or not to run for Governor. There has been speculation about a Byrne candidacy in the GOP for several months now. His resignation from his current position is a clear signal that he intends to pursue other options, ya know, like Governor.
Byrne hasn't made anything official yet and said the long awaited official announcement would come on the 27th later this month. Being that he has taken leave of a fairly important position within the state would seem to signal he is ready to devote himself to a full-time campaign for Governor late next year.
Legally, no one can begin fund raising until June 1st which is roughly a year ahead of next June's state primary. So it makes sense that more and more candidates are coming out of the woodwork. The next few weeks should be interesting as it is also likely that we will separate the wheat from the chafe so to speak.
The list of potential candidates for Governor has run as long as a list of State Senators. The rumors and fact will soon be publicly separated.
There are two other official candidates in the GOP race right now. Greenville businessmen Tim James and State House member and doctor Robert Bentley are the only ones to have officially announced their candidacy. Other big names in the rumor mill include State Treasurer Kay Ivey and Republican Minority Leader Mike Hubbard. I suspect that Ivey's candidacy is merely a rumor. No real developments have happened in her court for months. She is interesting from a rumor mill standpoint because she is the only name mentioned who has already won and currently holds a state-wide office.
Two reasons I say she isn't too serious about it though. 1) This PACT mess coming down has made her look bad. Whether it is her fault or not, she is ultimately responsible for the Treasury Dept and doesn't look so good when half of the value of the program has gone down the tubes. 2) There is already a crowded list of big time candidates in the mix. James has been working for months to organize a campaign. Byrne has supposedly secured a lot of support within the business community. Given that the last open GOP primary really only had 3 candidates and saw a relatively weak showing from Tim James in the polls, there's no reason to believe that a Ivey candidacy would produce anything more than an 'also ran' result.
What is also interesting is that the race could become more crowded yet regardless of the unlikelihood that there will be only 2 to 3 major candidates. Tony Petelos has batted around the idea of running, but I think his lack of name recognition statewide would make his candidacy a poor choice. Perhaps a run for Lt. Governor would be more suiting of the Hoover mayor.
In addition, the prospect of Mike Hubbard joining the fight still looms. I don't really have any strong inclinations one way or the other on his chances of running, but I don't think he's a strong candidacy if he enters. Again, a strong candidate for Lt. Gov he would be.
Finally, there was some speculation that Luther Strange might take a shot at the top job. He put that to rest a few weeks ago as he more or less indicated he would seek the job of Atty. Gen. despite the fact the position is currently held by a Republican. He made that official with his announcement last week to challenge Troy King.
Speaking of Troy King, there was a lat of talk of him running for Governor this year, but his dirty laundry list would make this article twice as long so I think the likelihood of that happening much less the wisdom of that move is good and small.
Finally, I should give attention to Robert Bentley. Although he is from my native Tuscaloosa and I have a little inclination to support him simply for that reason not to mention his super-conservative stances, I said early on that his candidacy would achieve 'also ran' status. I'm not quite so sure of that anymore. Have you seen the man's bus? Pictures of it are at the previous link. I may be ignorant here, but I've never seen an Alabama gubernatorial candidate roll around in a state-of-the-art ride like that. Point being, he's got some serious backing somewhere. Being a doctor, he's certainly got some money in the bank so I don't doubt he could afford a bus like that, but why do it unless you've got campaign funds rolling in? Not that he's collecting funds illegally, I'm saying he has the promise of money from people he obviously trusts.
My inclination from sources say that Bentley's not interested in running unless he knows he can win. Despite his lack of name recognition statewide, a name can be made in a relatively short period of time if you've got the money to do it. It will be interesting if Bentley ends up being that 3rd major candidate.

